東京大学政策評価研究教育センター

CREPEDP-96

Number CREPEDP-96
Publication Date March 2021; Revised in August 2022
Title Information Rigidity and Elastic Attention: Evidence from Japan
Author Cheng Chen, Takahiro Hattori and Yulei Luo
Abstract Recent empirical studies have found substantial information rigidities faced by consumers and firms, when they forecast macro variables (Coibion and Gorodnichenko (2015) and Coibion et al. (2018)). In this study, we examine how information rigidities behave differently when it comes to forecasting industry- and firm-level variables. Using a firm-level panel dataset that contains quantitative forecasts of the (macro) inflation rate, the industry-specific inflation rate, and firm sales, we present evidence that the information rigidity associated with forecasting (macro) inflation is more pervasive than those associated with forecasting the other two variables. We back out the unobservable marginal cost of acquiring and processing information for the three target variables and find that the cost associated with digesting industry-level information is the highest among them.
Keywords information rigidity, expectations formation, macro and industry-specific shocks
Other information Paper in English (52 pages)