東京大学政策評価研究教育センター

論文 2021年(papers published in 2021)

Shun-ichiro Bessho, "Do class size reductions protect students from infectious disease? Lessons for COVID-19 policy from flu epidemic in Tokyo Metropolitan Area" (coauthored with Oikawa, Masato, Ryuichi Tanaka, and Haruko Noguchi), American Journal of Health Economics, forthcoming.

Shun-ichiro Bessho, "Local fiscal multipliers and population aging in Japan," apan and the World EconomyVolume 60, December 2021.

Toshiaki Iizuka, "False Alarm? Estimating the Marginal Value of Health Signals" (coauthored with K. Nishiyama, B.K. Chen, K Eggleston), Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 195, Mar. 2021.

Daiji Kawaguchi, "Who Can Work from Home? The Roles of Job Tasks and HRM Practices" (coauthored with Hiroyuki Motegi), Journal of Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 62, pp. 101162, 2021.

Daiji Kawaguchi, "An Assessment of Abenomics from the Labor Market Perspective," (coauthored with Keisuke Kawata and Takahiro Toriyabe), Asian Economic Policy Review, Vol. 16, No. 2, pp. 247-278, 2021.

Daiji Kawaguchi, "Estimating the Effects of the Minimum Wage Using the Introduction of Indexation" (coauthored with Yuko Mori), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 184, pp. 388-408, 2021.

Daiji Kawaguchi, "Adjustments of regular and non-regular workers to exogenous shocks: Evidence from exchange-rate fluctuation" (coauthored with Izumi Yokoyama and Kazuhito Higa), Industrial and Labor Relations Review, Vol. 74, No. 2, pp 470-510, 2021.

Norito Kawakami, "Downloading a government-issued COVID-19 contact tracing app may improve psychological distress in the outbreak among employed adults: a prospective study" (coauthored with Sasaki N, Kurosa K, Tsuno K, Imamura K), JMIR Mental Health, 2021 Jan 12;8(1):e23699.

Norito Kawakami, "Effects of smartphone-based stress management on improving work engagement among nurses in Vietnam: a secondary analysis of a three-arm randomized controlled trial" (coauthored with Sasaki N, Imamura K, Tran TTT, Nguyen HT, Kuribayashi K, Sakuraya A, Bui TM, Nguyen QT, Thi NN, Nguyen GTH, Zhang MW, Minas H, Sekiya Y, Watanabe K, Tsutsumi A, Shimazu A), Journal of Medical Internet Research, February 2021.

Sagiri Kitao, "Labor Market Policies in a Dual Economy" (coauthored with Julen Esteban-Pretel), Labour Economics, January 2021, Vol. 68, 2021.

Sagiri Kitao, "Foreign Workers, Skill Premium and Fiscal Sustainability in Japan" (coauthored with Tomoaki Yamada), Economic Analysis, Vol. 2020, pp. 220-243, June 2021.

Sagiri Kitao, "Who Suffers from the COVID-19 Shocks? Labor Market Heterogeneity and Welfare Consequences in Japan" (coauthored with Shinnosuke Kikuchi and Minamo Mikoshiba), Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 59, March 2021.

Hitoshi Matsushima, "Partial Ex-Post Verifiability and Unique Implementation of Social Choice Functions," Social Choice and Welfar, e 56, 549-567, 2021.

Taisuke Nakata,"Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps: Implications for Monetary and Fiscal Policy," (coauthored with Sebastian Schmidt), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, forthcoming. [2019 FEDS version]

Taisuke Nakata, "Covid-19 and Output in Japan" (coauthored with Daisuke Fujii), Japanese Economic Review, Special Issue: SIR Model and Macroeconomics of COVID-19, 2021.

Taisuke Nakata, "A Promised Value Approach to Optimal Monetary Policy" (coauthored with Timothy Hills and Takeki Sunakawa), Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming.

Makoto Nirei, "Supply Chain Disruptions: Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake" (coauthored with Vasco M. Carvalho, Yukiko U. Saito, and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 136(2), pp.1255-1321, 2021.

Makoto Nirei, "Formation of Chinese Venture Capital Syndication Network" (coauthored with Toshiaki Shoji and Fei Yu), Japanese Economic Review, 72(1), pp.49-64, 2021.

Tetsuji Okazaki, "Disentangling the Effects of Technological and Organizational Changes During the Rise of the Factory: The Case of the Japanese Weaving Industry, 1905−1914", Economic History Review, v.74 iss.4 pp976-1005, March 2021.

Tetsuji Okazaki, "Product Innovation, Product Diversification, and Firm Growth: Evidence from Japan’s Early Industrialization" (coauthored with Serguey Braguinsky, Atsushi Ohyama, Chad Syverson), American Economic Review, v. 111, no. 12, pp. 3795-3826, December 2021.

Yasuhiro Sato, "Industrial structure in urban accounting" (coauthored with J. Oshiro), in Regional Science and Urban Economics, Volume 91, November 2021.

Yasuhiro Sato, "A first aid kit to assess welfare impacts," (coauthored with K. Kawata) Economics Letters Volume 205, August 2021.

Yasuhiro Sato, "Industrial structure in urban accounting," (coauthored with J. Oshiro) Regional Science and Urban Economics Volume 91, November 2021.

Yasuhiro Sato, "Impacts of high-speed rail construction on land prices in urban agglomerations: Evidence from Kyushu in Japan," (coauthored with C. Okamoto), Journal of Asian Economics Volume 76, October 2021.

Yasuyuki Sawada, "Living environments and child development: Comparing two groups of out-of-home children," (coauthored with Chung, I. J., Lee, J., Sim, S. G., & Son, J.), Journal of Human Capital 15(2), pp.346-371, 2021.

Yasuyuki Sawada, "On the Two Catching-Up Mechanisms in Asian Development," (coauthored with Takuma Kunieda, Keisuke Okada, and Akihisa Shibata), Asian Development Review 38(2), 31-57, 2021.

Yasuyuki Sawada, "Macroeconomic Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Developing Asia" (coauthored with Lea R. Sumulong) in John Beirne, Peter J. Morgan, and Tetsushi Sonobe, eds., COVID-19 Impacts and Policy Options: An Asian Perspective, Asian Development Bank Institute, 2021.

Yasuyuki Sawada, "Living Environments and Child Development: Comparing Two Groups of Out-of-Home Children,"(coauthored with Ick-Joong Chung, Seung-Gyu Sim, and Jinyeong), Journal of Human CapitalVolume 15, Number 2, Pages 346–371, Summer 2021.

Mototsugu Shintani, "Missing Wage Inflation? Estimating the Natural Rate of Unemployment in a Nonlinear DSGE Model" (coauthored with Yuto Iwasaki and Ichiro Muto), European Economic Review, Volume 132, February 2021.

Mototsugu Shintani, "Cyclical Part-Time Employment in an Estimated New Keynesian Model with Search Frictions" (coauthored with Toshihiko Mukoyama and Kazuhiro Teramoto), Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming.

Mototsugu Shintani, "Forecasting Japanese Inflation With a News-based Leading Indicator of Economic Activities" (coauthored with Keiichi Goshima, Hiroshi Ishijima and Hiroki Yamamoto), Studies in Nonlinear Dynamic & Econometrics, forthcoming.

Masahiro Shoji, "Social Capital Encourages Disaster Evacuation: Evidence from a Cyclone in Bangladesh" (coauthored with Akira Murata) Journal of Development Studies, 57(5), pp. 790-806, 2021.

Masahiro Shoji, "Social media infodemics and social distancing under the COVID-19 pandemic: public good provisions under uncertainty" (coauthored with Susumu Cato, Takashi Iida, Kenji Ishida, Asei Ito, Hiroto Katsumata, and Kenneth Mori McElwain), Global Health Action, Volume 14, Issue 1, 2021.

Masahiro Shoji, "Prosociality and the Uptake of COVID-19 Contact Tracing Apps: Survey Analysis of Intergenerational Differences in Japan" (coauthored with Susumu Cato, Takashi Iida, Kenji Ishida, Asei Ito, Hiroto Katsumata, and Kenneth Mori McElwain), JMIR mHealth uHealth, Vol. 9, No. 8, August 2021.

Akinobu Shuto, "Are more able managers good future tellers? Learning from Japan" (coauthored with Souhei Ishida, and Takuma Kochiyama), Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, forthcoming.

Akinobu Shuto, "Management earnings forecasts and the cost of debt" (coauthored with Norio Kitagawa), Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, Volume 36 Number 3, Pages 585–612, July 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "Backfire effect of salient information on vaccine take-up: Experimental evidence from scared-straightintervention in rural northern Nigeria" (coauthored with Ryoko Sato), Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics, Volume 17, Issue 6, .Pages 1703-1713, 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "The Lower Ucayali River in prehistory: Cultural chronology, archeological evidence and a recently discovered Pre-Columbian site" (coauthored with Oliver T. Coomes, Christian Abizaid, and Santiago Rivas Panduro), Geographical Review 111(1), Pages 145-167, 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "Lifeways and currents of change in the Peruvian Amazon: A 1000 km boat journey down the Ucayali River" (coauthored with Christian Abizaid, and Oliver T. Coomes), Focus on Geography, Volume 65, 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "Advantages and disadvantages of institutional delivery and home delivery: A qualitative study in northern Nigeria" (coauthored with Kengo Igei, Kana Takio, and Keitaro Aoyagi), European Journal of Preventive Medicine, Volume 13, Issue 4, pp. 360-384, August 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "Vocational training for demobilized ex-combatants with disabilities in Rwanda" (coauthored with Kengo Igei, Kana Takio, and Keitaro Aoyagi), Journal of Development Effectiveness, Volume 9, Issue 1, pp. 19-24, January 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "Vaccine hesitancy and refusal: Experimental evidence from rural northern Nigeria" (coauthored with Margaret Kalacska, J. Pablo Arroyo-Mora, Oliver T. Coomes and Christian Abizaid), Vaccines, 9(9), September 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "Geolocation of unpublished archaeological sites in the Peruvian Amazon" (coauthored with Oliver T. Coomes, Santiago Rivas Panduro, and Christian Abizaid), Scientific Data 8, October 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "Personal intergroup contact between different groups of ex-combatants and civilians: Evidence from a behavioural experiment in Rwanda" (coauthored with Mayuko Onuki and Keitaro Aoyagi), European Journal of Social Psychology, 52(1), pp. 1-17, October 2021.

Yoshito Takasaki, "What drives clearing of primary forest over secondary forests in tropical shifting cultivation systems? Evidence from the Peruvian Amazon" (coauthored with Oliver T. Coomes, Yuanyu Cheng, and Christian Abizaid.), Ecological Economics, Volume 189, November 2021.

Jiro Yoshida, "Estimating housing rent depreciation for inflation adjustments" (coauthored with Luis A. Lopez), Regional Science and Urban Economics, available online, 3 September 2021.

Naoki Wakamori, "Preference or Technology? Evidence from the Automobile Industry" (coauthored with S. Yoo and Y. Yoshida), Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, Vol. 96, July 2021.

Naoki Wakamori, "Competition-Driven Physician-Induced Demand" (coauthored with K. Ikegami and K. Onishi) Journal of Health Economics, Vol. 79, September 2021.

Tsutomu Watanabe, "Visualizing Social and Behavior Change due to the Outbreak of COVID-19 using Mobile Phone Location Data" (coauthored with T. Mizuno, T. Ohnishi) New Generation Computing, 39, pp. 453–468, November 2021.

Tsutomu Watanabe, "Japan's Voluntary Lockdown: Further Evidence Based on Age-Specific Mobile Location Data" (coauthored with T. Yabu) Japanese Economic Review, 72(3), 333-370, July 2021.

Tsutomu Watanabe, "Online Consumption During and After the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Japan" (coauthored Y. Omori) in E. Mazaheri (Ed.), The Impact of COVID19 On E-Commerce, pp.43-66, Proud Pen. Published: 20 May 2021.

Tsutomu Watanabe, "The Welfare Implications of Massive Money Injection: The Japanese Experience from 2013 to 2020," Asian Economic Policy Review, Vol. 16, No. 2, 224-242, July 2021.

Tsutomu Watanabe, "Japan's Voluntary Lockdown" (coauthored with T. Yabu) PLoS ONE, June 2021.

Yasutora Watanabe, "Designing Cotext-Based Marketing: Product Recommendation under Time Pressure" (coauthored with Kohei Kawaguchi and Kosuke Uetake), Management Science, forthcoming. 大橋弘「公立病院再編における費用削減効果」(五十川大也、古田早穂子と共著)、『経済分析』201:62-84 2021年2月.

大橋弘『需給調整メカニズムの現況と課題:欧米の比較を踏まえた2024年度以降に向けての考察と提言』(山本敏之と共著) GraSPP-DP-J-22-002 2022年3月

大橋弘『新たな交通のビジネスモデルと政策のあり方』 運輸と経済 885:16-20 2021年3月.

岡崎哲二「日中戦争期における財閥持株会社の株式ポートフォリオと投資収益率 : 三菱社と三井合名会社の比較分析」、三菱史料館論集 = Mitsubishi Archives review (22), 197-211, 2021 三菱経済研究所(ISSN:1345-3076).

正木祐輔「地方分権に関する経済理論とデジタル社会への示唆」、『月刊 地方自治』No. 886 、地方自治制度研究会編、2021年9月.