東京大学政策評価研究教育センター

CREPEDP-80

Number CREPEDP-80
Publication Date August 2020
Title Who Suffers from the COVID-19 Shocks? Labor Market Heterogeneity and Welfare Consequences in Japan
Author Shinnosuke Kikuchi (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Sagiri Kitao (The University of Tokyo), and Minamo Mikoshiba (The University of Tokyo)
Abstract Effects of the COVID-19 shocks in the Japanese labor market vary across people of different age groups, genders, employment types, education levels, occupations, and industries. We document heterogeneous changes in employment and earnings in response to the COVID-19 shocks, observed in various data sources during the initial months after onset of the pandemic in Japan. We then feed these shocks into a life-cycle model of heterogeneous agents to quantify welfare consequences of the COVID-19 shocks. In each dimension of the heterogeneity, the shocks are amplified for those who earned less prior to the crisis. Contingent workers are hit harder than regular workers, younger workers than older workers, females than males, and workers engaged in social and non-flexible jobs than those in ordinary and flexible jobs. The most severely hurt by the COVID-19 shocks has been a group of female, contingent, low-skilled workers, engaged in social and non-flexible jobs and without a spouse of a different group.
Keywords COVID-19, Japan, labor market, welfare effect, life-cycle model, inequality
Other information Paper in English (40 pages)