Center for Research and Education in Program Evaluation (CREPE), University of Tokyo

Our Works

Discussion Papers

All papers are available for on-line.

Papers (Reprints)

This series contains reprints of published articles and contributions to books.

Sung Jin Kang, Yasuyuki Sawada, Yong Woon Chung, "Long-Term Consequences of Armed Conflicts on Poverty: The Case of Cambodia", forthcoming in Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, 2018.

Tomoyuki Nakajima, R. Anton Braun, "Why prices don't respond sooner to a prospective sovereign debt crisis, ", forthcoming in Review of Economic Dynamics, 2018.

Borck R. and T. Tabuchi, "Pollution and city size: can cities be too small?", forthcoming in Journal of Economic Geography, 2018.

Berliant M. and T. Tabuchi, "Equilibrium commuting", forthcoming in Economic Theory, 2018.

Tabuchi T., J.-F. Thisse and X. Zhu, "Does technological progress magnify regional disparities?", forthcoming in International Economic Review, 2018.

Ago T., T. Morita, T. Tabuchi, and K. Yamamoto, "Elastic labor supply and agglomeration", forthcoming in Journal of Regional Science, 2018.

Daisuke Oyama, Tomoyuki Takenawa, "On the (Non-) Differentiability of the Optimal Value Function When the Optimal Solution Is Unique", forthcoming in Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2018.

Hidehiko Ichimura, Yoichi Arai, "Simultaneous Selection of Optimal Bandwidths for the Sharp Regression Discontinuity Estimator", forthcoming in Quatitative Economics, 2018.

Koji Miyawaki, Yasuhiro Omori, Akira Hibiki, "A discrete/continuous choice model on a nonconvex budget set", Econometric Reviews Vol.37(2), 89-113, 2018.

Michihiro Kandori, "Replicability of Experimental Data and Credibility of Economic Theory", The Japanese Economic Review, vol.69, No.1, 4-25, 2018.

Hikaru Ogawa and Wenming Wang, "Objectives of governments in tax competition: Role of capital supply elasticity", International Review of Economics and Finance, vol.54, 225-231, 2018.

Hyungtaik Ahn, Hidehiko Ichimura, James L. Powell and Paul A. Ruud, "Simple Estimators for Invertible Index Models", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, with discussion, 36 (1), 1-10, 2018.

Yasuyuki Sawada, "Disasters, Household Decisions, and Insurance Mechanisms: A Review of Evidence and a Case Study from a Developing Country in Asia", Asian Economic Policy Review 12(1), 18-40, 2017.

Yasuyuki Sawada and Yoshito Takasaki, "Natural Disaster, Poverty, and Development", World Development, Vol.94, 1, 2017.

Yasuyuki Sawada and Yoshito Takasaki, "Natural Disaster, Poverty, and Development: An Introduction", World Developmentment, Vol.94, 2–15, 2017.

Yoko Sakai, Jonna P. Estudillo, Nobuhiko Fuwa, Yuki Higuchi, Yasuyuki Sawada,
"Do Natural Disasters Affect the Poor Disproportionately? Price Changes and Welfare Impact in the Aftermath of Typhoon Milenyo in the Rural Philippines", World Development, Vol.94, 16–26, 2017.

Yasuyuki Sawada, Hiroyuki Nakata, Tomoaki Kotera, "Self-Production, Friction, and Risk Sharing against Disasters: Evidence from a Developing Country", World Development, Vol.94, 27–37, 2017.

Hiroyuki Hikichi, Yasuyuki Sawada, Toru Tsuboya, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo, Shihoko Koyama, Ichiro Kawachi, "Residential relocation and change in social capital: A natural experiment from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami", Science Advances vol.3 no.7, 2017.

Michiko Ueda, Kota Mori, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Yasuyuki Sawada, "Tweeting celebrity suicides: Users’ reaction to prominent suicide deaths on Twitter and subsequent increases in actual suicides", Social Science & Medicine, Vol.189, 158-166, 2017.

Keiko Iwasaki, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Daniel Aldrich (2017)"Social capital as a shield against anxiety among displaced residents from Fukushima" , Natural Hazards, Vol.89(1), p405–421, 2017.

Joichi Nakajima, Tsuyoshi Kunihama, Yasuhiro Omori, "Bayesian modeling of dynamic extreme values: extension of generalized extreme value distributions with latent stochastic processes", Journal of Applied Statistics Vol.44(7), 1248-1268, 2017.

Shinya Sugawara, Yasuhiro Omori, "An econometric analysis of insurance markets with separate identification for moral hazard and selection problems", Computational Economics Vol.50(3), 473–502, 2017.

Shinichiro Shirota, Yasuhiro Omori, Hedibert. F. Lopes, Haixiang Piao, "Cholesky realized stochastic volatility model", Econometrics and Statistics, Vol.3, 34-59, 2017.

Tsunehiro Ishihara, Yasuhiro Omori, "Portfolio optimization using dynamic factor and stochastic volatility: evidence on Fat‐tailed errors and leverage", The Japanese Economic Review, Vol.68(1), 2017.

Luigi Guiso, Chaoqun Lai, Makoto Nirei, "An Empirical Study of Interaction-based Aggregate Investment Fluctuations, The Japanese Economic Review", 68(2):137-157, 2017.

Tatsuya Kubokawa, Éric Marchand, and William E. Strawderman, "On predictive density estimation for location families under integrated absolute error loss", Bernoulli, 2017.

Shonosuke Sugasawa, Tatsuya Kubokawa, J.N.K. Rao, "Small area estimation via unmatched sampling and linking models", TEST, 2017.

Shonosuke Sugasawa, Hiromasa Tamae, Tatsuya Kubokawa, "Bayesian Estimators for Small Area Models Shrinking Both Means and Variances", Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Volume 44(1), Pages 150-167, 2017.

Shonosuke Sugasawa, Tatsuya Kubokawa, "Transforming response values in small area prediction, " Computational Statistics& Data Analysis Vol.114, 47-60, 2017.

Shonosuke Sugasawa, Tatsuya Kubokawa, "Bayesian estimators in uncertain nested error regression models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Vol.153, 52-63, 2017.

Hisayuki Tsukuma, Tatsuya Kubokawa, "Proper Bayes and minimax predictive densities related to estimation of a normal mean matrix, " Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Vol.159, 138-150, 2017.

Shonosuke Sugasawa, Tatsuya Kubokawa, Kota Ogasawara, "Empirical Uncertain Bayes Methods in Area‐level Models" Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Vol.44(3), 684-706, 2017.

Yi‐Ling Cheng and Takatoshi Tabuchi, "Multiproduct oligopoly and trade between asymmetric countries", Review of International Economics, Special Issue Paper, 1-15, 2017.

Takanori Ago, Tadashi Morita, Takatoshi Tabuchi, Kazuhiro Yamamoto, "Endogenous labor supply and international trade", International Journal of Economic Theory 13, 73-94, 2017 Tomoyuki Nakajima, Shuhei Takahashi, "The optimum quantity of debt for Japan", Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, vol.46, 17-26, 2017.

Tetsuji Okazaki, Michiru Sawada, "Measuring the extent and implications of corporate political connections in prewar Japan", , vol.65, 17-35, 2017.

Kentaro Nakajima, Tetsuji Okazaki, "The expanding Empire and spatial distribution of economic activity: the case of Japan's colonization of Korea during the prewar period", The Economic History Review, 1-24, 2017.

Tomohiro Hirano, and Noriyuki Yanagawa (July 2010, revised October 2016). "Asset Bubbles, Endogenous Growth, and Financial Frictions", The Review of Economic Studies, 84 (1): 406-443, 2017.

Tomohiro Hirano, Masaru Inaba, and Noriyuki Yanagawa (December 2011, revised August 2015). "Asset Bubbles and Bailouts", Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol.76, S71-S89, 2015.

Books

Books by CREPE members.

Real Estate Policy Studies Jiro Yoshida, "Globalization and Evaluation Methods for Real Estate Investments in Japan", in Fudosan Seisaku Kenkyukai, Chihiro Shimizu, and Masanori Kobayashi (eds.), Real Estate Policy Studies, Chapter 4-10, 2018 (in Japanese).

Tomohiro Hirano, Balance Sheet Effects and the Effectiveness of Government Policy (in Japanese).

Yasuhiro Sato, "Spatial economic analysis on demographics", in M. Ii, C. Hara, K. Hosono, and H. Matsushima (eds.) , Trends in Modern Economics 2017, Chapter 5, 2018 (in Japanese).

Yasuyuki Sawada, Minhaj Mahmud, and Naohiro Kitano, eds., Economic and Social Development of Bangladesh: Miracle and Challenges, Palgrave Macmillan, 2017.

Yasuyuki Sawada, Michiko Ueda, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Economic Analysis of Suicide Prevention: Towards Evidence-Based Policy-making, Springer, 2017.