東京大学政策評価研究教育センター

CREPEDP-180

Number CREPEDP-180
Publication Date December 2025
Title Support for Fiscal Consolidation in a Highly-Indebted Country
Author Takuji Fueki, Masashi Hino, Munechika Katayama, and Taisuke Nakata
Abstract Government debts have been increasing over the past several decades in many advanced economies, often raising concerns about fiscal sustainability. In this paper, we conduct an information provision experiment to understand the public’s view on fiscal consolidation. The public tends to underestimate the current debt-to-GDP ratio. We find that the provision of the current debt-to-GDP ratio tends to increase support for fiscal consolidation, whereas additional provision of a realistic future projection tends to attenuate that effect. We also find that fiscal policy views are heterogeneous along key socio-economic attributes, but the responses to information provision are not.
Keywords Fiscal Consolidation; Government Debt; Information Provision Experiment; Randomized Controlled Trial
Other information Paper in English (56 pages)