東京大学政策評価研究教育センター

CREPEDP-158

Number CREPEDP-158
Publication Date (July 2024; revised in September 2024)
Title "Population Growth, Employment Protection, and Firm-level Distortions"
Author Cheng Chen and Takahiro Hattori
Abstract Declining population growth and the existence of firm-level distortions are impor- tant real-world phenomena. In this paper, we set up a firm dynamics model to study firm-level distortions induced by the firing cost through the lens of population growth. The negative impact of the firing cost on aggregate productivity is larger when the population growth rate declines, since slower population growth leads to fewer entrants and exiting firms which are less troubled by the firing cost. Using Japanese plant-level data, we calibrate the model and implement counterfactual analysis. Importantly, we provide direct evidence on how population growth affects plant-level labor distortions.
Keywords population growth, employment protection and firing cost, firm-level distortions
Other information Paper in English (26 pages)