東京大学政策評価研究教育センター

CREPEDP-111

Number CREPEDP-111
Publication Date October 2021
Title The Demand for Money at the Zero Interest Rate Bound
Author Tsutomu Watanabe and Tomoyoshi Yabu
Abstract This paper estimates a money demand function using US data from 1980 onward, including the recent near-zero interest rate period. We show that the substantial increase in the money-income ratio during the period of near-zero interest rates is captured well by the log-log specification, but not by the semi-log specification. Our result is the opposite of the result obtained by Ireland (2009), who found that the semi-log specification performs better. This mainly stems from the difference in the sample period employed: ours contains 24 quarters with interest rates below 1 percent, while Ireland’s (2009) sample period contains only three quarters.
Keywords money demand function; cointegration; zero lower bound; welfare cost of inflation; log-log form; semi-log form
Other information Paper in English (35 pages)