東京大学政策評価研究教育センター

Title "Earnings Dynamics and Measurement Error in Matched Survey and Administrative Data" (joint with Wilbur Townsendy) [download]
Date 2018年6月18日(月)June 18, 2018, 10:30-12:00
Venue 東京大学経済学研究科・学術交流棟(小島ホール)1階・第1セミナー室にて開催 [地図]
Seminar Room No. 1, Economics Research Annex (Kojima Hall), University of Tokyo [MAP]
Speaker Dean Hyslop (Motu Economic and Public Policy Research)
Abstract This paper analyzes earnings dynamics and measurement error using a matched longitudinal sample of individuals’ survey and administrative earnings. We reject that survey reports are measured with classical error and the administrative earnings are error free. The reported differences are negatively correlated with average administrative earnings, and with annual deviations, and characterized by both persistent and transitory factors. We formulate models for individuals’ true earnings and measurement errors in each report. Assuming no measurement error in the administrative reports, we estimate mean-reverting errors in the survey report, but this finding is not robust to relaxing this assumption. The results imply measurement errors dominate the observed changes in earnings.
Information 英語での発表となります(Presentation in English)
主催:Empirical Micro Workshop
共催:Microeconomics Workshop